By Mohammad Javad Habibi

Trump’s ASEAN outreach and Washington’s strategic drift from West Asia

November 10, 2025 - 18:49

TEHRAN - Donald Trump’s attendance at the 47th ASEAN summit in Kuala Lumpur marks a symbolic yet telling redirection of American foreign policy. After two decades of overreach and strategic exhaustion in West Asia, Washington appears to be searching for a new stage on which to project power. Southeast Asia dynamic, contested, and economically vital offers a setting where the U.S. can reassert visibility while avoiding the immense political and military costs that have accompanied its interventions in the Middle East.

Since 2001, U.S. policy toward West Asia has consumed trillions of dollars and eroded its moral and political capital. The invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan, the long shadow wars in Syria and Yemen, and the failed attempts to isolate Iran have left Washington overstretched.

While the U.S. claims it avoids direct confrontation, it was directly involved in the 12-day war against Iran in partnership with Israel and this shows that the U.S. remains a stakeholder in instability it can no longer control. Talking to reporters on November 6, Trump acknowledged that “I was very much in charge” the war that Israel started.  The U.S. B-2 bombers attacked Iran’s nuclear facilities in Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan.

Trump’s Malaysian trip must therefore be read as part of an attempt to recalibrate: shifting attention from a theater of attrition to one that promises leverage through diplomacy and economic alignment rather than endless wars.

At the ASEAN summit, Trump’s speeches stressed “economic freedom” and “regional security,” language carefully chosen to counter China’s influence while appealing to local elites. Malaysia, Vietnam, the Philippines, and Thailand all sit within a delicate balance—deeply tied to Chinese trade yet wary of Beijing’s dominance. By offering renewed defense cooperation, trade incentives, and technology partnerships, Trump sought to remind these states that the United States remains an indispensable balancing force. Yet beneath the rhetoric lies a familiar objective: sustaining U.S. primacy through fragmentation of alternative blocs such as BRICS Plus and the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP).

For Iran and other actors in West Asia, this development carries mixed implications. On one hand, Washington’s focus on Southeast Asia could relieve immediate military pressure on the Persian Gulf. The U.S. may redeploy naval and intelligence resources eastward, leaving regional security more directly in the hands of local powers. On the other hand, Iran must recognize that this “pivot” does not equate to disengagement. The U.S. is not leaving the Middle East; it is globalizing its containment strategy. By tightening cooperation with ASEAN members, Washington builds an economic cordon that isolates both China and Iran from critical maritime routes linking the Indian Ocean to the Pacific.

Trump’s emphasis on “freedom of navigation” in the South China Sea mirrors older U.S. arguments in the Strait of Hormuz. The same logic used to justify naval presence near Iran is now exported to the Indo-Pacific. This demonstrates how American strategic thinking views regions not as separate but as interlinked fronts in a single competition for influence. Iran’s energy partnership with China particularly under the 25-year comprehensive cooperation agreement—makes Tehran indirectly relevant to Southeast Asian security calculations. Hence, the ASEAN trip should not be misread as regional substitution; it is an expansion of the same contest by new means.

From Tehran’s standpoint, the appropriate response is neither alarm nor complacency but adaptation. The new geography of competition offers room for maneuver. As Washington attempts to court ASEAN governments, Iran can deepen ties with those countries unwilling to choose sides. Malaysia and Indonesia, with their large Muslim populations and histories of non-alignment, provide natural partners for a dialogue rooted in South-South cooperation rather than bloc politics. Iran’s expanding membership in organizations such as the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) strengthens its credentials as a bridge between West Asia and the Pacific world.

Still, Trump’s ASEAN appearance underscores a critical truth: the United States is shifting from direct intervention to indirect encirclement. The rhetoric of partnership conceals a strategy of selective militarization and economic dependence. In this sense, Southeast Asia could become for Washington what the Persian Gulf once was a hub of alliances designed to contain both regional autonomy and rival great powers. The difference is that this time, the U.S. acts from weakness, not confidence.

Ultimately, Trump’s foray into ASEAN politics exposes the contradictions of an empire in transition. America seeks renewal without reckoning with its past failures; it speaks of “shared prosperity” while sustaining coercive tools of sanctions and military pressure. For Iran and the broader Axis of Resistance, the lesson is clear: the arena may change, but the logic of domination remains constant. The path forward lies in strengthening cross-regional cooperation from Tehran to Kuala Lumpur to build an order immune to such cyclical interventions. Trump’s Malaysia visit is not the birth of a new U.S. century; it is the latest chapter in a long retreat disguised as a pivot.

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